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RBI rate hike faces scrutiny amid low inflation and growth

pre-market1 source ↓written by the desknot a recommendation

and economic growth
5%
nominal GDP
9%
inflation is below
3%

The Reserve Bank of India may find limited justification for raising interest rates, as core inflation remains below 5% and economic growth is subdued at around 9% nominal GDP. Nuvama Research highlights that current conditions differ significantly from previous rate-hike cycles in 2018 and 2022, questioning the effectiveness of a potential hike against global financial pressures.

• Core inflation is below 5%

• Super-core inflation is below 3%

• Nominal GDP growth at 9%

This analysis suggests traders should remain cautious regarding interest rate expectations and their impact on market dynamics.

Not investment advice. For informational purposes only.

OI Charts is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser or research analyst. This bulletin was written by the OI Charts desk from the public sources listed here. It is commentary on market conditions, not a basis for any investment decision and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Prices as of 3 Oct 2026, 07:11 IST.

Sourcesnews.google.com

Sector · Banking, Financial Services