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IMF backs rupee flexibility as India faces energy shocks

The IMF urged India to let the rupee absorb energy shocks, while reports said RBI intervention since June totalled about USD 90 billion. OI Charts data showed the Nifty at ₹22,937, up 1.05% on 29 Oct.

pre-market2 sources ↓machine-written, see hownot a recommendation

NIFTY close
₹22,937
On the day
+1.05%
52-week high
₹23,489
52-week low
₹22,180

The International Monetary Fund said on 29 Oct 2026 that exchange-rate flexibility should be India’s preferred response to energy shocks, arguing that the rupee should absorb external pressure rather than remain the primary target of intervention. IMF Communications Director Julie Kozack said allowing the currency to move freely would help the economy adjust to higher energy costs and other external shocks. 💱

The comments came amid reports that the Reserve Bank of India had used about USD 90 billion since June to support the rupee. The reported intervention included spot-market sales and currency swaps aimed at absorbing surplus liquidity. The IMF said foreign-exchange intervention was appropriate in disorderly market conditions, but should not replace exchange-rate adjustment as the normal policy response.

The policy trade-off is important for India’s banking and energy-linked economy. A weaker rupee can raise the domestic cost of imported crude oil, gas and other commodities, adding pressure to fuel prices, input costs and the trade deficit. At the same time, allowing the currency to adjust could reduce the need for continued reserve usage and let external shocks show more clearly in market prices. If depreciation begins to feed into broader inflation, Kozack said the IMF would recommend monetary-policy tightening to preserve price stability. 🏦

OI Charts data showed the Nifty 50 closing at ₹22,937 on 29 Oct, up 1.05% on the day, with volume of 344,482,095. The index remained below its 52-week high of ₹23,489 recorded on 22 Sep, while its 20-session return stood at -0.9%; the five-session return was +0.2%. The figures indicate a firm single-session rebound but a still-muted recent trend, giving currency and policy signals added importance for financial-market sentiment.

Traders will watch the RBI’s next currency-market actions, any change in the pace of intervention, and evidence of rupee weakness passing through to inflation. Energy prices, foreign-exchange reserves and future monetary-policy guidance will help determine whether the issue remains a currency-adjustment question or develops into a broader inflation and rates concern.

Source: BusinessLine, 30 Oct 2026

Not investment advice. For informational purposes only.

This bulletin was generated by OI Charts' system from the sources listed here and from OI Charts market data, and was published without individual review. Read how bulletins are made or report an error. OI Charts is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser or research analyst. This is commentary on market conditions, not a basis for any investment decision and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Prices as of 30 Oct 2026, 07:19 IST.

Sourcesnews.google.com, news.google.com

Sector · Banking, Energy