−23% from the high · +13% from the low
Short build-up into a 26-day expiry: futures OI +1.8% on a −0.9% day, the most call OI sits at 300, the most put OI at 300, max pain 305.
BPCL futures closed at ₹302.40, +0.6% to spot, with 99% of open interest in the 27 Oct contract, and the 300 straddle prices a move of about ±5.4% by expiry.
| Expiry | Close ₹ | Basis ₹ · % | Annualised % | OI lots · on the day | Share of OI % | Contracts traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct26 days | ₹302.40 | +1.80+0.6% | +8.4% | 18,000▲ +2.0% · +350 lots | 99 | 2,300 |
| 23 Nov53 days | ₹302.70 | +2.10+0.7% | +4.8% | 230▼ −9.9% · −25 lots | 1.2 | 130 |
| 29 Dec89 days | ₹306.20 | +5.60+1.9% | +7.6% | 5.00.0% · 0.00 lots | 0.03 | 4.0 |
1.3% of futures OI sits beyond the 27 Oct contract · 27 of 44 listed contracts traded · 8,400 option contracts changed hands
The 300 straddle closed at ₹16.35 (call 9.35 + put 7.00), pricing a move of about ±5.4% by the 27 Oct expiry. In the last 253 windows of 19 sessions, BPCL moved more than that 96 times.
After the last 8 bulletins, BPCL closed higher five sessions later in 4 of 7.
| Bulletin | Day of the news | 1 session later | 5 sessions later | Futures OI on the day |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 SeptIOC, HPCL, BPCL shares rise amid crude oil price drop | ▼ −0.9%Nifty −0.9% · 0.0 pp | —not reached | —not reached | ▲ +1.8%short build-up |
| 21 SeptICICI Securities warns of earnings pressure for oil companies | ▲ +0.3%Nifty −0.4% · +0.6 pp | ▲ +1.0%Nifty +0.1% · +0.8 pp | ▼ −4.3%Nifty −3.0% · −1.3 pp | ▲ +4.7%long build-up |
| 21 SeptIOCL, BPCL Q2 earnings recovery amid supply risks | ▲ +0.3%Nifty −0.4% · +0.6 pp | ▲ +1.0%Nifty +0.1% · +0.8 pp | ▼ −4.3%Nifty −3.0% · −1.3 pp | ▲ +4.7%long build-up |
| 22 JulBPCL reports 23% revenue growth but net loss of ₹1,873 crore | ▼ −1.3%Nifty −0.5% · −0.8 pp | ▼ −1.2%Nifty −0.9% · −0.3 pp | ▲ +0.6%Nifty +1.3% · −0.8 pp | ▲ +1.8%short build-up |
| 19 JulBPCL launches premium LPG service to boost competition | ▲ +0.7%Nifty −0.4% · +1.0 pp | ▲ +1.2%Nifty −0.6% · +1.8 pp | ▲ +0.2%Nifty −1.4% · +1.6 pp | ▲ +4.5%long build-up |
| 17 JulBPCL stock steady amid earnings and capex updates | ▲ +0.7%Nifty −0.4% · +1.0 pp | ▲ +1.2%Nifty −0.6% · +1.8 pp | ▲ +0.2%Nifty −1.4% · +1.6 pp | ▲ +4.5%long build-up |
| 17 JulBPCL stock steady amid earnings and capex plans | ▲ +1.1%Nifty +1.1% · +0.1 pp | ▲ +1.8%Nifty +0.7% · +1.1 pp | ▼ −0.6%Nifty −1.3% · +0.7 pp | ▼ −1.8%short covering |
| 10 JulBPCL purchases 1 million barrels of US crude | ▲ +0.5%Nifty +1.0% · −0.5 pp | ▼ −0.2%Nifty +1.0% · −1.3 pp | ▲ +2.4%Nifty +1.6% · +0.8 pp | ▲ +0.1%long build-up |
Revenue ₹1,59,527 cr, +23% on a year earlier; profit −₹1,873 cr, −130% in the Jun 2026 quarter, consolidated.
| Quarter | Revenue ₹ cr | Revenue YoY | Profit ₹ cr | Profit YoY | EPS ₹ | Market on the day |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026filed 22 Jul | ₹1,59,527 cr | ▲ +23% | −₹1,873 cr | ▼ −130% | -4.38 | ▼ −1.7%Nifty −0.8% · −0.9 pp |
| Mar 2026filed 19 May · audited | ₹1,34,948 cr | ▲ +6.3% | ₹5,625 cr | ▲ +28% | 13.16 | ▲ +2.5%Nifty +0.2% · +2.4 pp |
| Dec 2025filed 23 Jan | ₹1,36,653 cr | ▲ +7.1% | ₹7,188 cr | ▲ +89% | 16.82 | ▲ +2.4%Nifty +0.5% · +1.9 pp |
| Sept 2025filed 31 Oct | ₹1,21,605 cr | ▲ +3.1% | ₹6,191 cr | ▲ +170% | 14.49 | ▲ +2.9%Nifty +0.2% · +2.8 pp |
| Jun 2025filed 13 Aug | ₹1,29,615 cr | ▲ +1.2% | ₹6,839 cr | ▲ +140% | 16.01 | ▼ −1.4%Nifty +0.1% · −1.4 pp |
| Mar 2025filed 29 Apr · audited | ₹1,26,916 cr | ▼ −3.9% | ₹4,392 cr | ▼ −8.3% | 10.28 | ▼ −0.5%Nifty 0.0% · −0.5 pp |
| Dec 2024filed 23 Jan | ₹1,27,551 cr | ▼ −1.9% | ₹3,806 cr | ▲ +20% | 8.91 | ▼ −2.3%Nifty +0.2% · −2.5 pp |
| Sept 2024filed 25 Oct | ₹1,17,949 cr | ▲ +1.1% | ₹2,297 cr | ▼ −72% | 5.38 | ▲ +1.3%Nifty +0.7% · +0.7 pp |
| Year | Revenue ₹ cr | Revenue YoY | Profit ₹ cr | Profit YoY | EPS ₹ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY26to Mar 2026 | ₹5,22,820 cr | ▲ +4.5% | ₹25,843 cr | ▲ +94% | 60.48 |
| FY25to Mar 2025 | ₹5,00,522 cr | ▼ −1.3% | ₹13,337 cr | ▼ −50% | 31.22 |
| FY24to Mar 2024 | ₹5,06,993 cr | — | ₹26,859 cr | — | 126.10 |
BPCL trades at 7.5 times trailing earnings against 12 for its industry, 1.3 times book value, revenue +10% over twelve months, a 12% dividend yield, market cap ₹1,30,000 cr.
| Stock | Market cap ₹ | P/E | P/B | Close ₹ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RELIANCEReliance Industries Limited | 16,00,000 cron 1 Oct | 21consolidated | 1.5 | ₹1,167.70 |
| IOCIndian Oil Corporation Limited | 1,90,000 cron 1 Oct | 3.0consolidated | 0.82 | ₹131.35 |
| BPCLBharat Petroleum Corporation Limited | 1,30,000 cron 1 Oct | 7.5consolidated | 1.3 | ₹300.60 |
| HINDPETROHindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited | 73,000 cron 1 Oct | 5.3consolidated | 1.1 | ₹345.00 |
| MRPLMangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited | 29,000 cron 1 Oct | — | 2.0 | ₹164.75 |
| CHENNPETROChennai Petroleum Corporation Limited | 20,000 cron 1 Oct | — | 1.8 | ₹1,346.40 |
| KOTYARKKotyark Industries Limited | 320 cron 1 Oct | — | 1.8 | ₹28.25 |
Promoters hold 53.0%, foreign portfolio investors 16.8%, mutual funds 9.6% and insurance companies 9.2%, as filed for the quarter to 30 Jun.
| Category | 30 Jun | 31 Mar | 31 Dec | 30 Sept | 30 Jun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Promoters | 52.980.00 pp | 52.980.00 pp | 52.980.00 pp | 52.980.00 pp | 52.98 |
| Foreign portfolio investors | 16.84▼ −2.73 pp | 19.57▲ +1.11 pp | 18.46▲ +1.93 pp | 16.53▲ +1.08 pp | 15.45 |
| Mutual funds | 9.56▲ +1.42 pp | 8.14▼ −1.24 pp | 9.38▼ −1.20 pp | 10.580.00 pp | 10.58 |
| Insurance companies | 9.24▲ +1.01 pp | 8.23▲ +0.05 pp | 8.18▼ −0.87 pp | 9.05▼ −1.22 pp | 10.27 |
| Banks and financial institutions | 2.27▲ +0.12 pp | 2.15▲ +0.15 pp | 2.00▲ +0.32 pp | 1.68▲ +0.35 pp | 1.33 |
| Individual investors | 6.17▲ +0.20 pp | 5.97▼ −0.08 pp | 6.05▼ −0.16 pp | 6.21▼ −0.19 pp | 6.40 |
| Bodies corporate | 0.320.00 pp | 0.32▼ −0.02 pp | 0.34▲ +0.01 pp | 0.33▼ −0.02 pp | 0.35 |
| Government | 0.86▲ +0.43 pp | 0.430.00 pp | 0.43▼ −0.51 pp | 0.940.00 pp | 0.94 |
| Others | 1.76▼ −0.45 pp | 2.21▲ +0.02 pp | 2.19▲ +0.48 pp | 1.710.00 pp | 1.71 |
Nothing upcoming on record; the last was a dividend of ₹10.00 a share, ex-date 2 Feb 2026.
| Ex-date | Action | Amount or ratio | Record date | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| recent | ||||
| 2 Feb 2026 | dividend | ₹10.00 | 2 Feb 2026 | BSE |
| 7 Nov 2025 | dividend | ₹7.50 | 7 Nov 2025 | BSE |
| 31 Jul 2025 | dividend | ₹5.00 | 31 Jul 2025 | BSE |
| 29 Jan 2025 | dividend | ₹5.00 | 29 Jan 2025 | BSE |
| 9 Aug 2024 | dividend | ₹10.50 | 9 Aug 2024 | BSE |
| 21 Jun 2024 | bonus | 1:1 | 22 Jun 2024 | BSE |
| 12 Dec 2023 | dividend | ₹21.00 | 12 Dec 2023 | BSE |
BPCL is −5.9% over 20 sessions against Nifty's −6.2%, 23% below its 52-week high, realised volatility 23% annualised.
| Window | From ₹ | BPCL % | Nifty 50 % | Difference pp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250 sessionssince 26 Sept | ₹324.34 | ▼ −7.3% | ▼ −9.1% | +1.7 |
| 120 sessionssince 9 Apr | ₹297.36 | ▲ +1.1% | ▼ −5.7% | +6.8 |
| 60 sessionssince 8 Jul | ₹303.54 | ▼ −0.97% | ▼ −6.1% | +5.1 |
| 20 sessionssince 2 Sept | ₹319.58 | ▼ −5.9% | ▼ −6.2% | +0.30 |
| 5 sessionssince 24 Sept | ₹307.11 | ▼ −2.1% | ▼ −2.8% | +0.66 |
| 1 sessionsince 30 Sept | ₹303.21 | ▼ −0.86% | ▼ −0.88% | +0.02 |
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